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城镇化建设是经济社会发展的必然要求。本文利用1978~2012年内蒙古经济增长与城镇化发展的时间序列数据,利用协整理论,基于计量ECM模型,对城镇化率与经济增长之间的长期与短期数量均衡进行了研究;结果表明:长期内,内蒙古自治区城镇化发展与其经济增长之间存在均衡关系;短期内,城镇化率与经济增长间表现出正相关关系,城镇化率每增加1%,可促进内蒙古自治区人均GDP增加0.19%。
Urbanization is an inevitable requirement of economic and social development. Based on the time series data of economic growth and urbanization in Inner Mongolia from 1978 to 2012, the paper uses the cointegration theory and the econometric ECM model to study the long-term and short-term quantitative equilibrium between urbanization rate and economic growth. The results show that: In the long term, there is a balanced relationship between urbanization development and economic growth in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region. In the short term, the urbanization rate shows a positive correlation with economic growth. For every 1% increase in urbanization rate, per capita GDP in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region can be increased by 0.19% .