学术研究同艺术品市场一样有许多相似的特性,其中最明显的便是存在着种种不确定性。这种“不确定性”包括两方面,一是对艺术危机的预判,二是学者对自身研究结论乃至研究方法的动摇。所以,当万达集团在纽约佳士得以1.72亿人民币购得毕加索作品《两个小孩》,一举成为“中国艺术品收藏市场国际化的一个引领”时,学界似乎沉不住气了。艺术品投资作为一种消费活动,钱往哪儿花是一个非常没准儿的事。就像乔帮主“种出苹果”后,诺基亚和摩托罗拉就宣布破产一样,因为技术的变革就 Academic research, like the art market, has many similarities, the most obvious of which are the kinds of uncertainties that exist. This “uncertainty ” includes two aspects, one is the prediction of the art crisis, and the second is the sway of scholars’ conclusions and even research methods. So, when Wanda Group bought a Picasso piece entitled “Two Children” at a price of 172 million yuan in New York, Christchurch became “a lead in the internationalization of the Chinese art collection market.” Art investment as a consumer activity, where to spend money is a very imperfect thing. Like Joe Bangzhu “Apple”, Nokia and Motorola declared bankruptcy, because the technology change