1985年,美国《地质评论》发表其所谓的“第一则官方所接受的将在美国国内发生的地震预报”.预报称,1993年前,帕克菲尔德地区蒙特雷城附近的圣安德烈斯断层沿线将发生里氏6级大地震.《地质评论》说,该地区过去每隔22年发生一次震级相似的地震.下次地震震级可能更高,也许会达到7级. In 1985, the United States Geological Review published what it called “the first official acceptance of an earthquake prediction to occur in the United States.” The forecast predicts that before 1993, San Andres, near Monterey, Parkfield, A magnitude 6 magnitude earthquake will occur along the fault, and the Geological Review said that in the past there was an earthquake of similar magnitude in the past 22 years in the area, with the next earthquake likely to have a magnitude of magnitude 7, perhaps.