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本文通过运用IS-LM图式对货币政策、财政政策效力以及各自面临制约的分析,并考虑中长期因素,得出以下结论:(1)货币政策和财政政策从理论上讲都有失效的可能,但在中国均未成为现实;(2)目前货币政策和财政政策都面临制约,单独实施难以取得最佳政策效果;(3)为启动经济增长,短期内大可将财政政策与货币政策结合起来考虑,而不应对立;(4)从中长期来看,实现可持续增长的关键将不是需求管理的货币政策和财政政策,而是促进结构转换的供给政策,为此需要进一步明确政策思路
Through the analysis of the monetary policy, the effectiveness of fiscal policy and their respective constraints, and taking into account medium- and long-term factors, this paper draws the following conclusions: (1) The possible failure of monetary policy and fiscal policy theoretically , But none of them have become a reality in China; (2) At present, both monetary and fiscal policies are constrained and it is difficult to achieve the best policy results when implemented alone. (3) In order to start economic growth, fiscal policy can be combined with monetary policy in the short term (4) In the medium and long term, the key to achieving sustainable growth will not be the demand-management monetary policy and fiscal policy, but the supply policy to promote structural transformation. To this end, it is necessary to further clarify the policy ideas