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在投机基金的炒作之下,国际初级产品市场实在是已经过度透支了其增长潜力无疑,今年以来国际市场最显著的趋势之一就是大宗初级产品价格普遍上涨。国际初级产品市场的牛市自有其基本面支持,首要因素当属宏观经济走势,其次是美元汇率的疲软。此外,中国因素、伊朗核危机、一些矿产地的罢工和暴力冲突、某些国家强化对大宗初级产品产销的控制等都刺激了大宗初级产品价格的上涨。
Under the speculation of speculative funds, the international primary product market is really over-spending its growth potential. One of the most prominent trends in the international market this year is the general rise in the prices of bulk primary products. The bull market in the international primary product market has its own fundamentals support. The primary factor is the macroeconomic trend, followed by the weakening of the U.S. dollar. In addition, the rise of bulk commodity prices has been stimulated by the China factor, the Iranian nuclear crisis, strikes and violent conflicts in some mineral regions and the intensification of the control over the production and sales of bulk primary products in some countries.