一、影响从总体上看,这次宏观调控有利于我省经济持续协调发展,有利于经济稳定和人民生活安定,避免经济大起大落。但对我省经济也可可能会产生一些负面影响: 一是表现在我省第二产业特别是中小企业经济发展上。由于实行中性财政政策和适度紧缩的货币政策,国债发行量减少,对我省利用国债投资的基础设施和重点建设项目将产生不同程度的影响。原材料、能源产品供需缺口增大,运输紧张。银行对钢铁、水泥、房地产实行信贷紧缩,致使这些行业的增长速度放慢。特别是中小型企业融资将更加困难。如,去年下半年我省中小企业从商业银行获得的贷款只占我省贷款总额的12．5％,预计明年将下降到10％左右,中小企业生产和经营由于缺乏资金将受到较大影响。 I. Impact Generally speaking, this macro-control is conducive to the sustained and coordinated development of the economy in our province and is conducive to economic stability and people’s livelihood and stability and to preventing economic ups and downs. However, the economy of our province may also have some negative effects: First, the performance of the secondary industry in our province, especially the economic development of SMEs. Due to the implementation of a neutral fiscal policy and a moderately tightened monetary policy, the issuance of government bonds has been reduced, which will have varying degrees of impact on the infrastructure and key construction projects in our province that utilize the government bonds. The gap between supply and demand of raw materials and energy products has increased and transportation has been tense. Banks impose a credit crunch on steel, cement and real estate, slowing the growth of these industries. In particular, SME financing will be even more difficult. For example, in the second half of last year, our province’s small and medium-sized enterprises obtained loans from commercial banks only accounted for 12.5% ​​of the total loans in our province and is expected to drop to about 10% next year. As a result, the production and operation of SMEs will be greatly affected due to lack of funds.