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在经济还是比较弱的时候,唯有反周期政策更加积极使用,才有望实现全年经济增长达到7.5%的政策目标。伴增随着决策层稳增长政策的不断加大以及市场信心有所恢复,近日国家统计局公布的7月中国宏观经济数据并没有延续今年以来悲观的形势,投资年内首次停止跌势,消费增速略有下滑,但出口与工业生产均出现了反弹,显示当前中国经济正在经历调整期,今年经济最坏的时刻或已结束。而展望未来,笔者预计,如果诸多稳增长措施能够积极落实,宏观经济拐点有望在9月到来。
At a time when the economy is still relatively weak, the policy objective of achieving 7.5% annual economic growth will be expected only if countercyclical policies are more actively used. With the increasing policy of steady growth of decision makers and the resumption of market confidence, the recent July macroeconomic data released by the National Bureau of Statistics of China did not continue the pessimistic situation this year. The investment stopped for the first time in the year and the consumption increased The rate of decline has been slightly, but there has been a rebound in both exports and industrial production. This shows that the current economic situation in China is experiencing a period of adjustment and the worst of the economy this year has ended. Looking ahead, I predict that if many steady growth measures can be actively implemented, the macroeconomic turning point is expected to come in September.