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4月28日,国家统计局公布了第六次全国人口普查数据。普查数据表明,十年来我国人口增长处于低生育水平阶段,60岁及以上人口占13.26%,比2000年人口普查上升2.93个百分点,其中65岁及以上人口占8.87%,比2000年人口普查上升1.91个百分点,人口老龄化进程逐步加快,大有兵临城下之势。而5月17日,上海召开的2011年上海市老龄工作委员会全体(扩大)会议上也公布了上海老龄事业发展“十二五”规划(征求意见稿)。根据预测,“十二五”期间上海市将进入人口老龄化加速发展期。到2015年末,户籍60岁及以上老年人口将超过430万,比例接近30%。面对人口老龄化的强势来袭,不禁再次引发人们对我国多层次养老保险制度的关注和讨论,基本养老能否保住基本?补充养老能否补得充足?本期特邀战略发展部就人口老龄化形势下的养老问题进行详细阐述。
April 28, the National Bureau of Statistics released the sixth national census data. According to the census data, China’s population growth in the past decade has been at a low level of fertility. Population aged 60 and above accounts for 13.26%, up 2.93 percentage points from the 2000 census, of which 8.87% of the population aged 65 and above is higher than the 2000 census 1.91 percentage points, the gradual acceleration of the process of population aging, a great potential Binglinchengshi. And on May 17, the 2011 Shanghai Senior Citizens’ Working Committee (Enlarged) Conference held in Shanghai also announced the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” for Development of Aging in Shanghai (Draft for Comment). According to the forecast, during the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” period, Shanghai will enter an accelerated aging population. By the end of 2015, the number of elderly people aged 60 or over in the household register will exceed 4.3 million, a proportion of nearly 30%. In the face of the strong attack of population aging, we can not help but once again raise the people’s concerns and discussions on China’s multi-level pension insurance system. Can the basic pension keep the basic? Supplementary pension can supplement enough? Aging in the context of aging issues elaborated.