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为了提高公交站点停留时间可靠性,从站点客流入手,通过理论分析公交站点停留时间的特性,采用概率测度的方法,建立了基于上车时间间隔、下车时间间隔和损失时间的公交站点停留时间可靠性模型。选取福州市典型公交站点作为实例,结合统计分析软件SPSS和PALISADE检验了指标间的不相关性,作为指标间相互独立的必要条件。运用统计分析方法定量分析了高峰时段和平峰时段站点客流对站点停留时间可靠性的影响程度。采用可靠性计算公式对各调查站点可靠性进行了计算。研究结果表明:站点客流的上车时间间隔、下车时间间隔和损失时间对公交站点停留时间可靠性有较大影响。
In order to improve the reliability of bus station stay time, passenger flow is started from the station. By analyzing the characteristics of bus station stay time by using theory, the method of probability measure is used to establish the bus station stay time based on bus time lapse, time lapse and loss time Reliability model. Taking the typical bus station in Fuzhou as an example, SPSS and PALISADE were used to test the irrelevance between the indexes as a necessary condition for the independence of the indexes. Using statistic analysis method to quantitatively analyze the impact of station passenger flow on the reliability of station stay time at rush hour and peak hour. The reliability of each survey site was calculated by reliability formula. The results show that the bus stop time, the stop time and the loss time have a great influence on the reliability of the bus stop time.