论文部分内容阅读
美国地质调查局最近直言:人类不能够预报地震。理由是:“无论是美国地质调查局还是加州理工学院或者任何其他科学家都没有预报过一次大地震。在可预见的未来他们不知道如何预报,并且也不打算知道。”面对深不可测的地球,这家机构“明智”地把工作方向锁定为“致力于通过提高基础设施的安全等级来长期减弱地震的危害性,而不是把精力放在研究短期预报”。中国科学家对地震预报的前景却要乐观一些。
The United States Geological Survey recently bluntly: humans can not predict the earthquake. The reason is: “Neither the US Geological Survey nor the California Institute of Technology or any other scientist has predicted a major earthquake and they do not know how to forecast for the foreseeable future and they do not intend to know.” Instead of focusing on studying short-term forecasts, the agency “smartly” locked its direction of work “to a long-term effort to reduce the magnitude of the earthquake by increasing the security level of the infrastructure.” Chinese scientists are optimistic about the prospects of earthquake prediction.