论文部分内容阅读
从 １９７８年以来，中国经济已经历了 ２０余年的快速增长。虽然人们对这些年的年均增长率究竟是多少也有一些不同看法，但改革开放以来中国经济增长明显加快，综合国力不断提高，中国人生活水平大幅改善是举世公认的事实。近几年，由于亚洲经济的影响和国内的种种变化，中国经济放慢了增长速度，在这种情况下，中国经济能否保持长期快速增长，成为从政府部门、经济学界、企业界到普通百姓和国际经济界共同关注的一个热门话题。 究竟是什么因素促使中国经济在过去２０余年里保持着令人瞩目的增长？在社会主义市场经济体系正在逐渐形成的今天，这些因素是否还继续存在？它们发生了什么变化？这些因素能否支撑未来中国经济继续快速增长？抑或被一些新的因素所取代？中国经济长期快速增长的潜力在哪里？危及中国经济快速增长的因素有哪些？国内外的经济学家们在不同的场合阐述着他们对这些问题的观点，分析和预测着中国经济未来的前景。近日，在国家加紧编制“十五”计划的背景下，国务院发展研究中心主办了“中国经济增长潜力国际研讨会”。国内的专家学者、有关部委的人士和来自世界银行、美国、英国的研究机构的经济学家，共同研讨了未来１０—２０年内中国经济继续保持快速增长的可能性、必要性和面临
Since 1978, China’s economy has experienced rapid growth for more than 20 years. Although people have different opinions on the average annual growth rates of these years, since the reform and opening up, China’s economic growth has obviously accelerated. The overall national strength has been continuously raised and the Chinese people’s living standards have been greatly improved. This is a fact universally acknowledged in the world. In recent years, due to the impact of the Asian economy and domestic changes, the Chinese economy has slowed down its growth rate. Under such circumstances, will the Chinese economy maintain its long-term rapid growth and become a long-term, fast growth from government departments, economists, enterprises to ordinary People and the international economic community a common topic of concern. What exactly has prompted China’s economy to maintain remarkable growth over the past 20 years or so? In the gradual formation of the socialist market economic system, these factors still exist? What happened to them? Can these factors support the continued rapid growth of China’s economy in the future? Or replaced by some new factors? Where is the potential for long-term rapid economic growth in China? What are the factors that endanger China’s rapid economic growth? Economists at home and abroad have expounded their views on these issues on different occasions and analyzed and predicted the future of China’s economy. Recently, under the background of the state’s stepping up preparation of the 10th Five-Year Plan, the State Council Development Research Center hosted the International Symposium on the Potential Economic Growth in China. Domestic experts and scholars, relevant ministries and commissions and economists from the World Bank, the United States and the United Kingdom have jointly discussed the possibility, necessity and face of China’s continued rapid economic growth in the next 10 to 20 years