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应用数学方程式来表示疾病的流行规律,称为流行病学数学模型。这是流行病学从定性研究走向定量的发展。1962年H.T.Wauler首先提出结核病流行病学模型(The model of Tuberculosis Epidemiology,简称T E模型)的理论。1975年y.Aruma(东义国)就结核病流行病学指标与防治措施间的相互关系,进行了更深入的研究,提出了一套完整的数学计算公式,从理论和实践上解决了T E模型的建造方法问题。本文主要介绍Aruma模型的计算方法及在结核病流行病学上的应用。
Mathematical equations to represent the epidemic of disease, known as the epidemiological mathematical model. This is a epidemiological shift from qualitative research to quantitative development. In 1962 H.T. Wauler first proposed the theory of the model of Tuberculosis Epidemiology (T E model). In 1975, A.ruma (East Timor) conducted a more in-depth study on the relationship between epidemiological indicators of tuberculosis and control measures and put forward a set of complete mathematical formulas to solve the TE model theoretically and practically The construction method problem. This article mainly introduces the calculation method of Aruma model and its application in tuberculosis epidemiology.