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4月9日,北京中南海。春风悠悠,野草低头,杨柳冒出鹅黄色的嫩叶,细长的柔条在清风中摇动。新绿,总给人带来无限生机、无限欢欣。 政府智囊机构的主要负责人以及部分经济学家,应新一届政府总理温家宝之邀,在中南海国务院第四会议室就一季度的经济运行情况和全年经济发展趋势发表意见,各大部委的主要负责人均出席了座谈会。与会者的神态与中南海春的气息看起来是协调的,因为这和装在他们头脑中的第一季度的经济数据紧密相关。 会议之前,被邀请的专家事先得到一份国家统计局关于一季度国民经济运行情况分析报告,据该报告显示:一季度国民经济呈现出快速增长格局,主要经济指标增速将明显高于上年同期水平: 国内生产总值增长接近或达到10％,同比加快2个多百分点; 规模以上工业增加值增长17.5％左右,约加快7个百分点; 全社会固定资产投资增长24％左右,约加快5个百分点; 社会消费品零售总额增长9％左右,约加快1个百分点; 居民消费价格上涨0.3％,工业品出厂价格上涨3.5％,上年同期则分别下降0.6％和4.1％: 农民人均现金收入增长7％左右,增幅与上年同期基本持平;城镇居民人均可支配收入约增长8.5％,上年同期增长18.3％。 这些数字意味着什么?向我们转达了何种信息?专家们是这样分析的。
April 9, Beijing Zhongnanhai. Long spring breeze, weeds bow, Willow emerge yellow leaves, slender soft in the breeze shaking. New green, always gives unlimited vitality, unlimited joy. At the invitation of the new government prime minister Wen Jiabao, chief officials of the government think-tank and some economists expressed their opinions on the economic operation in the first quarter and the annual economic development trend in the fourth conference room of the State Council of Zhongnanhai. The main responsible person attended the symposium. The demeanor of the participants seemed to be in harmony with the flavor of Zhongnanhai Spring because it was closely linked with the first quarter economic data contained in their minds. Before the meeting, the invited experts got a preliminary analysis report of the National Bureau of Statistics on the first quarter national economy operation. According to the report, the national economy showed a rapid growth pattern in the first quarter, and the growth of major economic indicators will be significantly higher than the previous year Over the same period: gross domestic product increased by nearly 10% or more, an acceleration of more than 2 percentage points over the same period of previous year; industrial added value above the designated size increased by 17.5% or so, an acceleration of about 7 percentage points; investment in fixed assets increased by 24% A percentage point; total retail sales of social consumer goods increased by about 9%, about 1 percentage point faster; consumer prices rose 0.3%, factory prices rose 3.5%, down 0.6% and 4.1% respectively over the same period of previous year: per capita cash income growth 7% or so, with the growth rate basically unchanged from the same period of last year; per capita disposable income of urban residents increased by about 8.5%, an increase of 18.3% over the same period of last year. What do these numbers mean? What kind of information has been conveyed to us? The experts analyzed it this way.