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2001年9月,全国居民消费价格指数由正转负,到2002年7月,除2001年10月和2002年2月两个月因节日因素价格保持上涨外,其余各月的价格指数均为负数。与此同时,工业品出厂价格则从2001年4月起连续16个月下降。于是,物价持续下降的原因、以及我国是否已出现通货紧缩等问题成了各方关注的热点。日前,中国人民银行和国家统计局的有关专家相继围绕上述问题发表了一些观点。按照这些专家的观点,物价下降的原因主要有以下几个方面:第一,整个市场供求关系比较宽松;第二,技术进步降低了商品的相对成本;第三,我国加入世贸组织后,关税降低,一部分进口商品的价格低走;第四,居民收入差距较大,农民收入增长缓慢,制约了消费需求的增长,并在一定程度上导致物价下降。不过这些专家认为,由于货币供应量保持稳定,中国并不存在滑向通货紧
In September 2001, the national consumer price index turned negative from positive to July 2002, with the exception of the two months in October 2001 and February 2002, in which the price indices for various months continued to rise due to holiday factor prices negative number. At the same time, the factory price of industrial products from April 2001 onwards for 16 consecutive months of decline. Therefore, the reasons for the continuous price drop and whether China has experienced deflation have become hot issues of all parties concerned. Recently, relevant experts from the People’s Bank of China and the National Bureau of Statistics have expressed some opinions on the above issues one after another. According to these experts’ point of view, the reasons for the price drop mainly include the following aspects: first, the market is relatively relaxed in terms of supply and demand; second, technological progress has reduced the relative costs of commodities; thirdly, the tariffs have been lowered after China’s accession to the WTO The price of some imported goods went down. Fourth, the large income gap between residents and the slow growth of peasants’ income constrained the growth of consumer demand and, to a certain extent, caused the prices to drop. However, these experts believe that as the money supply remains stable, China does not have to slip to the currency