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本文通过建立数理模型,分析了改革开放以来中国货币供给通过促进劳动力转移对经济增长的影响,并通过协整检验和向量误差修正模型(VEC)进行了检验。研究发现,1979-2004年,货币扩张可以有效地促进经济增长,而最主要的渠道是货币扩张所引起的劳动力转移;2004年后,货币扩张就无法有效地促进经济增长了,因为货币扩张已无法有效地刺激劳动力转移了。而提高工人工资、增加工资总额在GDP中的比重,能够有效地促进劳动力转移,进而促进经济进一步增长。
Through the establishment of the mathematical model, this paper analyzes the impact of China’s money supply on economic growth through the promotion of labor force transfer since the reform and opening up and tests it by means of cointegration test and vector error correction model (VEC). The study found that from 1979 to 2004, monetary expansion can effectively promote economic growth, the most important channel is the labor transfer caused by monetary expansion; after 2004, monetary expansion can not effectively promote economic growth, because the monetary expansion has been Can not effectively stimulate the transfer of labor. Raising the wages of workers and increasing the proportion of their total wages in GDP can effectively promote the transfer of labor and further promote the economic growth.