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本文采用全要素生产率的分析方法对广东经济增长源泉进行研究,发现改革开放以来,广东经济的增长是由劳动和资本的高投入和制度改革驱动,而不是由通过提高效率实现的,科技对经济增长的贡献率较低,结合亚洲“四小龙”的经济发展经验教训,本文认为这种增长将受到“收益递减”规律的限制,是不可持续发展的。最后,本文提出政策建议:广东经济要实现可持续的经济增长,必须走“科教兴粤”道路。
This article uses the method of total factor productivity to study the sources of economic growth in Guangdong and finds that since the reform and opening up, the economic growth in Guangdong has been driven by the high input of labor and capital and the reform of the system, not through the improvement of efficiency, The contribution rate of growth is relatively low. Combined with the experience of economic development in Asia, the author believes that this growth will be limited by the law of “diminishing returns” and is not sustainable. Finally, this article puts forward policy suggestions: To achieve sustainable economic growth, the Guangdong economy must take the path of “promoting education through science and education”.