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该研究成果系统科学地分析了水资源系统、社会经济系统和生态环境系统三者之间的相互关系,构建了反映区域社会经济、生态环境和水资源可持续利用的水资源承载能力评价指标体系,并提出了相应的评价标准与等级。建立的水资源承载能力多目标动态综合评价模型具有上下两层复合结构,考虑了社会经济发展、生态环境保护和水资源合理利用,采用模糊优选模型对方案进行决策分析,从而确定符合经济和生态可持续发展的水资源承载能力指标值。水资源承载能力模糊动态综合评价模型采用灰色关联度法分析影响水资源承载能力的主要
The research results scientifically analyzed the relationship among water resource system, social economy system and ecosystem system, and established the evaluation index system of water resources carrying capacity reflecting the regional social, economic, ecological environment and sustainable utilization of water resources , And put forward the corresponding evaluation criteria and levels. The established multi-objective dynamic comprehensive evaluation model of water resources carrying capacity has the upper and lower layers of composite structure, taking into account the socio-economic development, ecological environment protection and rational utilization of water resources, using fuzzy optimization model for decision analysis of the program to determine in line with the economy and ecology Sustainable development of water resources carrying capacity index value. The fuzzy dynamic comprehensive evaluation model of water resources carrying capacity uses gray relational method to analyze the main influencing factors of water resources carrying capacity