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1989—1990年是80年代与90年代衔接的纽带。世界贸易在这两年内,发生了什么变化,关系到整个90年代世界贸易的发展趋势。因此,要预测90年代世界贸易的发展趋势,首先要对1989—1990年这两个关键性年份的世界贸易情况进行实事求是地分析,作出较为科学的预测。一、1989—1990年世界贸易的概况及其变化趋势据关税及贸易总协定于1991年3月26日发表的1990年世界贸易年度报告,1990年世界贸易出口总额达3.5万亿美元,比1989年的3.1万亿美元增长了13%,但是以美元计
1989-1990 was the link between the 1980s and the 1990s. In the past two years, what has changed in world trade has been related to the development trend of world trade throughout the 1990s. Therefore, to predict the development trend of world trade in the 1990s, we must first analyze the world trade situation in the two key years from 1989 to 1990 realistically and make more scientific predictions. I. Overview of the world trade in 1989-1990 and its changing trend According to the 1990 World Trade Annual Report issued by the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade on March 26, 1991, the total world trade export volume reached US$3.5 trillion in 1990, which is much higher than that in 1989. The US$3.1 trillion in annual growth is 13%, but in US dollars