继1991年江淮大水之后,淮河干流已有4年没发生过大洪水;沙颍河、洪汝河继75·8大水之后,已有20多年没发生过大洪水;涡河更是30多年没发生过大洪水。按照洪水发生的自然规律,淮北地区河流1996年发生洪水的可能性较大。另据国家气象局预报,1996年夏季主要雨带位于黄淮,黄淮降水比往年偏多2至4成,局部地区可能有洪涝。 Following the floods of the Yangtze River and the Huaihe River in 1991, no major floods occurred in the mainstream of the Huaihe River in the past four years. No flood occurred more than 20 years after the 75.8 floods in the Shaying River and Hongru River. For the more than 30 years No major floods occurred. According to the natural law of flood occurrence, rivers in Huaibei area are more likely to flood in 1996. According to the forecast of the National Meteorological Bureau, the main rain belt in summer 1996 was located in Huanghuai. Precipitation in the Huanghuai Lake is between 2% and 40% more than in previous years. Floods may occur in some areas.