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一、国际市场 1998年国际铜市场的特点是:生产增幅与消费增幅均有较大幅度下降,但生产增速仍高于消费增速,铜的供应过剩在不断加大,库存上升较快,价格下降幅度较大。 1、生产增幅有明显下降 据1998年11月《Brook Hunt》资料,1998年西方国家精铜产量估计为1113.5万吨,约比1997年增长3.4％,世界精铜产量为1385.3万吨,比上年增长2.45％,而1997年增长幅度分别为6.76％和6.63％。其中智利增长速度较高达到8.4％,美国、日本产量大致与上年相当。造成产量增加速度减缓的主要原因如下:
I. International Market In 1998, the characteristics of the international copper market are: the growth rate of production and the growth rate of consumption have both dropped by a large margin, but the growth rate of production is still higher than the growth rate of consumption; the excess supply of copper is constantly increasing; the inventories are rising rapidly; The price dropped significantly. 1. Significantly Decreased Production Growth According to the “Brook Hunt” data of November 1998, the output of refined copper in Western countries in 1998 was estimated at 11.135 million tons, about 3.4% more than in 1997 and the world’s refined copper output was 13.853 million tons, A year-on-year increase of 2.45%, while the growth rates in 1997 were 6.76% and 6.63% respectively. Among them, Chile enjoyed a relatively high growth rate of 8.4%. The output of the United States and Japan was roughly the same as that of the previous year. The main reasons for the slowdown in the rate of increase are as follows: