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1989年-2005年年度数据计量表明,中美贸易逆差与东亚地区的对华投资之间存在长期稳定的协整关系。并且,中美贸易逆差与美从东亚地区的进口也存在长期稳定的协整关系。由此,证实了以对华投资为主要形式的东亚地区的产业转移是造成中美贸易逆差的重要原因。
The annual data from 1989 to 2005 indicate that there is a long-term and stable co-ordination relationship between the trade deficit between China and the United States and the investment in China in East Asia. Moreover, there is also a long-term and stable co-integration relationship between the trade deficit between China and the United States and the United States’ imports from East Asia. As a result, it has been confirmed that the industrial transfer in East Asia, where investment in China is the main form, is the major cause of the trade deficit between China and the United States.