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本文运用协整理论的EG两步法、格兰杰因果检验,以及回归估计方法对我国信息产业与经济增长关系进行了深入分析。研究发现我国信息产业与经济增长有长期稳定的均衡关系,信息产业对我国经济增长有显著的促进作用,而经济增长对拉动信息产业的作用在中期(2～4年)内有一定效果,在短期(1年)和长期(5年及以上)内则并不显著,并针对这些结论提出相关政策和发展建议。
In this paper, the co-integration theory of EG two-step method, Granger causality test, and regression estimation method of China’s information industry and economic growth in-depth analysis. The study finds that the information industry in our country has a long-term and stable relationship with economic growth. The information industry has a significant role in promoting economic growth in our country. The role of economic growth in stimulating the information industry has some effect in the medium term (2-4 years) Short-term (1 year) and long-term (5 years and above) are not significant, and the relevant policies and development proposals for these conclusions are proposed.