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市场中充满了不确定性与信息不对称,而预测市场作为一种新型的预测方法,相对其他传统的预测方法而言,能对市场上的事件做出高度准确的预测,充分实现了市场汇聚分散信息的功能,因此对这种预测方法的发展与应用进行总结就显得十分必要。对预测市场方法的研究能更好地为商业决策提供理论与实践指导,其重要性在于提供了一种新的信息收集方式,使市场有效性的应用推及更广泛层面,这也使得预测市场在不远的将来会得到更大的发展。
The market is full of uncertainty and information asymmetry, and forecasting market as a new type of forecasting method, compared to other traditional forecasting methods, can make highly accurate forecasts of events in the market and fully realize the market convergence Therefore, it is necessary to summarize the development and application of this forecasting method. The research on forecasting market methods can better provide theoretical and practical guidance for business decision-making. The importance of this method is that it provides a new way of information collection and makes the application of market efficiency more general and broader. It also makes forecasting market In the near future will be greater development.