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本文详细地报道了花生锈病流行电算模拟模型一号CSGR—1的模块结构和检验结果,从利用CSGR—1的全部模拟输出和田间病情实测值所作的统计分析结果来看,各种参数检验方法均表明其输出是可信的。 在对CSGR—1的检验中,引用了线性方程参数的置信区间检验法和模拟准确度计算方法。前一方法与现行的线性参数t测验法的理论相近,但结果似乎较直观些,后者则是一种较温和的检验方法,其结果只是一个程度参数,表明模拟结果与实测值的接近程度,不作肯定或否定之类的统计结论。
This paper reports in detail the modular structure and test results of the popular computer simulation model of peanut rust CSGR-1. Based on the statistical analysis results of using all the simulated outputs of CSGR-1 and field measurements, various parameter tests The methods all show that their output is trustworthy. In the test of CSGR-1, the confidence interval test of linear equation parameters and the calculation method of simulation accuracy are cited. The former method is similar to the current theory of linear parameter t test, but the result seems to be more intuitive. The latter is a milder test method, and the result is only a degree parameter, indicating that the simulation result is close to the measured value , Do not make any positive or negative statistical conclusions.