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既然我们面对的世界总会有黑天鹅出现,我们就应事先做好相关准备;另一方面,当黑天鹅出现,应克服风险厌恶情绪务实应对进入2010年以来,世界上已发生多次地质灾难。海地、智利、中国、阿富汗、巴布亚新几内亚以及多米尼克共和国相继发生大地震,已经造成数十万人死亡,不仅如此,冰岛火山爆发引发的火山灰云正在向整个欧洲扩散,导致数万航班被迫停飞。难道当今地球真的进入了一个地质活动特别活跃的时期?难道那部好莱坞电影《2012》里玛雅预言的世界末日真要到来了?
Since the black swans will always appear in the world we face, we should make preparations in advance. On the other hand, when the black swan appears, we should overcome the risks of aversion to pragmatism. Since 2010, there have been many geological events in the world disaster. Not only Haiti, Chile, China, Afghanistan, Papua New Guinea and the Dominican Republic have witnessed the devastating earthquake that has claimed hundreds of thousands of lives. In addition, volcanic ash clouds triggered by volcanic eruptions in Iceland are spreading all over Europe, causing tens of thousands of flights to be forced Grounded Is Earth really entering a particularly active period of geological activity? Is it the end of the Doha prophecy in the Hollywood movie “2012” that is really coming?