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在人类社会进入21世纪时,国际电信业迎来了一个少有的严冬,而且目前寒气还远未退去.这个严冬的表征主要是这样的:股市持续下滑,泡沫遭遇破灭、资源严重积压、债务非常繁重.市场动荡不安.目前,国际电信市场正处在一个相对平稳时期,可能进入了动荡之后的重构之中.可以看出,电信业整体下滑的根源在于违背了行业发展的客观规律,它向我们昭示:只有扎扎实实地遵循电信业的发展规律,才能实现电信业持续稳定的发展.在抓住主导技术的同时实现衍生技术的不断创新高新技术在整体上都是主导技术“,”Upon entering into the 21st century,the world telecom industry has been in a cold winter that people have rarely experienced and,the coldness is still there.This winter is manifest with the following features:declining stock prices,blown out bubbles,piled up resources,heavy debts and fluctuating markets.Currently,the telecom market has entered into a relatively stable period,which might lead to restructuring of the industry after the fluctuations.It is clear that the utmost reason for the decline of the world telecom industry is violation of the laws of development of the telecom industry.It shows evidently to us that only by following solidly the development laws of the telecom industry,can we achieve the continuous and steady growth in the telecom industry.