强化结构调整 加速发展方式转变——2011:中国经济金融形势分析与预测

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2010年,全球经济依然处在持续复苏通道之中,但进入三季度后经济增速出现了明显放缓迹象。尽管国际经济金融形势比较复杂,但我国经济仍然保持较快增长态势,全年经济增速达10.3%。2011年,随着发达国家财政刺激政策逐步退出、新兴市场国家货币政策不断收紧,世界经济复苏动能将进一步下降,全球经济复苏的不协调性增强。在世界经济格局发生深刻复杂变化情况下,我国将加大经济结构调整力度,适当控制经济增长速度,投资与外贸增速会有所减缓,货币信贷增速将有所回落,对通货膨胀预期管理和房地产市场政策调控会进一步增强,但消费需求将继续保持快速增长态势,人民币升值及国际化步伐有所加快,股票市场功能会进一步完善。在国内外复杂经济金融形势下,在强化经济结构调整大背景下,商业银行要防范国际市场变化和各国政策冲突带来的风险,着力调整信贷结构,积极拓展消费、外贸、存款、理财和投资银行等金融服务市场,严控房地产开发贷款风险,顺应监管趋严和利率市场化趋势,加快业务发展方式转变。 In 2010, the global economy is still in the process of sustained recovery, but after the third quarter, there has been a marked slowdown in economic growth. Despite the complicated international economic and financial situation, the economy of our country still maintains a relatively rapid growth with an annual economic growth rate of 10.3%. In 2011, with the gradual withdrawal of fiscal stimulus from developed countries and the tightening of monetary policy in emerging market countries, the world economic recovery momentum will further decline and the global economic recovery will become increasingly uncoordinated. Given the profound and complicated changes in the world economic pattern, China will step up its efforts to readjust its economic structure and appropriately control the rate of economic growth. The growth rate of investment and foreign trade will slow down. The growth rate of monetary credit will drop somewhat, and inflationary expectancy management And real estate market policy will be further strengthened, but consumer demand will continue to maintain rapid growth momentum, RMB appreciation and the pace of internationalization has accelerated, the stock market functions will be further improved. Under the complicated economic and financial situations both at home and abroad and under the background of intensifying economic structural readjustment, commercial banks should guard against the risks brought about by the changes in the international market and the policy conflicts in various countries. They should adjust their credit structure and actively expand consumption, foreign trade, deposits, wealth management and investment Banks and other financial services markets, strictly control the risk of real estate development loans, comply with regulatory tightening and the interest rate liberalization trend and accelerate the transformation of business development.
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