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在科技文献中,地震常被比喻为非线性动力学过程或统计物理中的相变过程。文章探讨了如何从非线性力学中的分岔理论以及统计物理内的朗道相变理论出发,从势磊穿越,临界涨落与临界慢化等多个角度来分析和了解地震发生的全过程。文章作者试图在这些非线性力学与统计物理的基础上,综合地震过程中在时间与空间上应出现的前兆,解释如何可能做出具有普适性的数值地震预测。
In scientific literature, earthquakes are often compared to non-linear dynamic processes or to the phase-change processes in statistical physics. This paper discusses how to analyze and understand the whole process of earthquakes from the perspectives of bifurcation theory in nonlinear mechanics and Landau transformation theory in statistical physics from the perspectives of potential barrier crossing, critical fluctuation and critical moderation . Based on these nonlinear mechanics and statistical physics, the author attempts to synthesize the precursors to be present in time and space during the earthquake process and explain how universal earthquake prediction can be made.