１“十五”主要宏观经济指标预测１．１建模基础及模型结构经过２０年来的改革开放，社会主义市场经济的框架初见端倪，经济运行机制也已由主要靠计划管理转变为主要靠投资推动和需求拉动。因此，我们在进行江苏省“十五”主要宏观经济指标预测分析时，将以经济增长为核心... 1 Prediction of Major Macroeconomic Indicators in the “Tenth Five-Year Plan” Period 1.1 Model Foundation and Model Structure After 20 years of reform and opening up, the framework of the socialist market economy has begun to take shape and the economic operation mechanism has also shifted from being mainly planned and managed mainly to Investment-driven and demand-driven. Therefore, we will take economic growth as the core in the forecast and analysis of the major macroeconomic indicators in the “Tenth Five-year Plan” period of Jiangsu Province.