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文章文利用上海2002~2011年的统计数据,在对影响地方政府财政风险的各种因素、成因和表现形式的及对影响地方财政风险的各种指标的综合分析的基础上,研究了地方政府根据自身财政状况和地方具体实际情况可以选择的指标体系,进行了实证研究。结果表明上海市在过去10年地方财政总体处于无警状态,少数年份处于轻警状态。
Based on the statistical data of Shanghai from 2002 to 2011, based on the comprehensive analysis of the various factors that affect the fiscal risk of local governments, their causes and manifestations and the various indicators that affect local fiscal risks, According to their own financial conditions and local specific conditions can choose the index system, conducted an empirical study. The results show that in the past 10 years, Shanghai’s local fiscal authorities have been in an un-alert state, with a few years in a state of light alert.