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应用统计力学方法和最大熵原理，论证了高山流域内降水、径流和径流系数与其所占面积之间呈负指数关系，流域内的冰川分布区是各参数的最大分布区，从而给出了高山流域冰川平均物质平衡的计算公式。在乌鲁木齐河源１号冰川流域对公式进行了验证，结果说明此方法是可靠的，且精度较高。运用此公式对东帕米尔康西瓦河流域的冰川物质平衡进行恢复，１９６０～１９９０年平均值为－１２３．５ｍｍ／ａ。
By using statistical mechanics method and maximum entropy principle, it is demonstrated that there is a negative exponential relationship between the precipitation, runoff and runoff coefficient in the alpine basin and the area occupied by them. The glacier distribution in the basin is the maximum distribution of each parameter, Calculation formula of average material balance in glacier basin. The formula is validated in the glacier basin of Heyuan No. 1 in Urumqi. The results show that this method is reliable and accurate. This formula was used to restore the glacial material balance in the Kangarwar Basin in East Pamir, with an average of -123.5 mm / a from 1960 to 1990.