1978年秋曾报道了地球物理学家的一个新假说,认为在强震发生前数年可以预先确定震源。这则报道说:苏联科学院地球物理研究所的研究人员曾举例指出,中亚的阿赖盆地是最近将要发生自然灾害的地区之一,那里是地质上古老、稳定的天山与年轻、非常活跃的帕米尔的交界地区。 In the autumn of 1978, a new hypothesis by geophysicists was reported that the source could be predetermined before the earthquake occurred several years ago. The report said: Researchers from the Institute of Geophysics at the Soviet Academy of Sciences have given an example to point out that the Arê basin in Central Asia is one of the areas where natural disasters will occur recently, where the geologically ancient and stable Tianshan Mountains are young and very active Pamir junction area.