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自上世纪90年代初期古籍拍卖首次出现开始,各大拍卖会成交量及成交额便成为拍卖市场的晴雨表。如果将历年的数据做一个函数曲线就不难发现,古籍拍卖的市场走势一向都是稳健扎实的,自90年代初期至1996年底,行情一路看涨,稳中有升,从未见大的波澜。但在1997年至1998这两年中,由于受到东南亚经济危机等各方面因素影响,行情出现了大幅度的回落,接着就是近五年的冰冻期,市场行情遭到了前所未有的打压。2003年起,古籍拍卖市场开始呈现重新复苏的活跃态势,市场仅用了不到一年的时间就使古籍价位恢复了低迷前的水平。之后市场行情更是一路凯歌,突飞猛进。但若论近十余年古籍行情的涨势速度之快、幅度之大,则以刚刚过去的2007年为最,这距离市场开始走向低迷的1997年刚好十年。
Since the first appearance of the ancient books auction in the early 90s of the last century, the transaction volume and turnover of major auctions have become a barometer of the auction market. It is not difficult to find out if the data of the past years is a function curve. The market trend of the ancient books auction has always been steady and steady. Since the early 90s and the end of 1996, the market has been bullish, steadily rising and no big waves ever seen. However, during the two years between 1997 and 1998, due to various factors such as the economic crisis in Southeast Asia, the market dropped sharply, followed by the freezing period in the recent five years. As a result, market conditions were hit harder than ever before. Since 2003, the ancient auction market has begun to show an active recovery and the market has restored the price of ancient books to the pre-downturn level in less than a year. After the market is even more triumphant triumph, by leaps and bounds. However, if the price of the ancient books market has risen rapidly and at a large rate in the recent ten years or so, 2007 will be just the last in the past, just 10 years from 1997 when the market started to downturn.