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2012年,国际石油市场宽松的供需基本面不支撑油价走高,但地缘政治和市场投机局部炒高油价,导致国际油价总体呈一涨、二跌、三反弹、四回落的起伏走势,布伦特原油年均价略高于2011年,达到111.58美元/桶,再创历史新高。展望2013年,国际石油市场充斥着极大的不确定因素。综合判断,一方面世界石油供需形势相对宽松,不支撑油价走高;另一方面,美国、欧洲、日本等国家和地区相继推出的宽松货币政策将大幅提高全球市场的流动性,增强市场预期,引发市场投机,助推国际油价短期上升,加之伊朗问题、
In 2012, the loose oil supply and demand fundamentals in the international oil market did not support higher oil prices. However, speculation in the geopolitics and the market speculated that the international oil prices were generally up, second down, third and fourth down. Brent Average annual crude oil prices slightly higher than in 2011, reaching 111.58 US dollars / barrel, a new record high. Looking forward to 2013, the international oil market is full of great uncertainties. Comprehensive judgments, on the one hand the world oil supply and demand situation is relatively loose, does not support oil prices higher; the other hand, the United States, Europe, Japan and other countries and regions have introduced loose monetary policy will significantly increase the liquidity of the global market, enhance market expectations, trigger Market speculation, boost short-term rise in international oil prices, combined with the Iran issue,