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一、概述任何事物的发展都有它的过去,现在和将来。预测就是“鉴往知来”,借对过去的探讨,而得对将来的了解,在现代化管理中,顶测已是不可缺少的工具。例如防疫部门要想预订某年预防接种的生物制品,或为了合理安排每年预防接种的工作人数,按时完成预防接种任务,就要对那时应预防接种的儿童进行预测。地方病防治工作者为了解某一防治水平对将来某种地方病发
I. Overview The development of everything has its past, present and future. Predicting is to “know what you are coming to know,” and in order to understand the future through the discussion of the past, top measurement is an indispensable tool in modern management. For example, if the epidemic prevention department wants to book a biological product for vaccination for a certain year, or if it reasonably arranges the number of vaccination workers per year and completes the vaccination task on time, it must make predictions about the children who should be vaccinated at that time. Endemic disease control workers to understand the level of certain prevention and treatment of diseases in certain places in the future