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最近,经济理论界和决策界对经济形势的判断和对策意见分歧较大,有的强调继续紧缩需求,有的主张放松需求控制,有的建议采取“中性政策’.最近四个月以来,我一直认为“中性政策’是最稳妥、最符合实际需要的政策主张.无论是从今年上半年的经济实绩来看,还是根据对目前形势和发展趋势的评估,采用“中性政策”既有利于改善宏观价格形势,控制通货膨胀,又可以避免生产滑坡,防止公开的和隐性的失业率上升,从而使控制通胀和控制失业、加快改革和保持高速增长结合起来.为了促使政府采用“中性政策”主张,现就当前形势中的若干问题谈几点看法.第一,目前总体经济的增长速度出现轻微下降趋势,不应再加大需求控制力度,而应该通过实施“中性政策”稳定工业增长.
Recently, economic theory and decision-making circles have diverged their opinions on economic judgments and countermeasures. Some have stressed that demand will continue to be tightened, some will demand that demand be relaxed and some adopt “neutral policies.” In the recent four months, I always think that “neutral policy” is the most secure and most appropriate policy statement in the world. Whether it is from the economic performance of the first half of this year or based on an assessment of the current situation and development trend, adopting a “neutral policy” Help to improve the macroeconomic situation, control inflation, avoid the decline of production and prevent the public and implicit jobless rate from rising, so that the control of inflation and control of unemployment, speed up reform and maintain rapid growth.In order to promote the government to adopt “ Neutral Policy ”, I would like to make a few comments on several issues in the current situation: First, at present, the growth rate of the overall economy shows a slight downward trend, and we should not intensify the demand control. Instead, we should implement the“ neutral policy ”Stabilize industrial growth.