论文部分内容阅读
本文讨论了和预警系统有关的一些概念性问题,包括组成予警复合体的各预警系统输出数据的相关方法问题。文中用与予警概率、虚警率、预警时间有关的某些基本分析说明这些讨论。所有数字计算适合于假说自动事件检测器和使用这些检测器输出数据的自动决策系统。指出了,在预警系统中多路敏感元件的使用就意味着需要将真实事件和虚假信号的多余检测信息很好地结合起来。不完善的结合的后果就形成虚警率,它能超过假设的完善结合及对非交战活动作出响应时发生干扰予警的情况下所产生的虚警率。
This paper discusses some of the conceptual issues related to early warning systems, including the methodological issues associated with the output of the early warning systems that make up the complex. The paper illustrates some of these discussions with some basic analyzes of probabilities of probation, false alarm rates, and warning times. All numerical calculations are suitable for the hypothetical automatic event detectors and automated decision-making systems that use these detectors to output data. Pointed out that the use of multiple sensitive components in early warning systems means that the combination of real events and redundant detection of false signals needs to be well integrated. The consequences of an imperfect combination result in a false alarm rate that exceeds the false alarm rate that would result from a hypothetical perfect combination and interference to the police in response to a non-belligerent activity.