【摘 要】
:
This paper focuses on establishing the multiscale prediction models for wind speed and power in wind farm by the average wind speed collected from the history r
【机 构】
:
School of Electrical and Information Engineering, Lanzhou University of Technology, Lanzhou Gansu 73
【基金项目】
:
This work was partly supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China;the project for returned talents after studying abroad
论文部分内容阅读
This paper focuses on establishing the multiscale prediction models for wind speed and power in wind farm by the average wind speed collected from the history records.Each type of the models is built with different time scales and by different approaches.There are three types of them that a short-term model for a day ahead is based on the least squares support vector machine (LSSVM),a medium-term model for a month ahead is on the combination of LSSVM and wavelet transform (WT),and a long-term model for a year ahead is on the empirical mode decomposition (EMD)and recursive least square (RLS) approaches.The simulation studies show that the average value of the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) is 4.91%,6.57% and 16.25% for the short-term,the medium-term and the long-term prediction,respectively.The predicted data also can be used to calculate the predictive values of output power for the wind farm in different time scales,combinedwith the generator’s power characteristic,meteorologic factors and unit efficiency under various operating conditions.
其他文献
排水设施是城市基础设施的重要组成部分,排水设施是否完好,功能是否健全,直接关系到人民生活质量,关系到城市经济和社会的可持续发展,也关系到和谐社会的建设.
粟裕同志是中国共产党久经考验的忠诚战士,无产阶级革命家,杰出的军事家.他以精湛的军事指挥艺术,创造了战争史上的种种奇迹;更以磊落的胸怀感召了无数同时代人和后来者.他文
紧紧围绕建设社会主义核心价值体系加强和改进思想政治教育,必须深入抓好马克思主义理论武装,进一步兴起学习贯彻科学发展观的热潮;扎实抓好中国特色社会主义共同理想教育,努
四角羊沟铅锌多金属矿床为接触交代型(矽卡岩型)铅锌矿。对四角羊沟铅锌多金属矿床的产状、矿石结构构造、围岩蚀变类型等进行了研究,查明了铅锌矿体主要分布于上石炭系四角
采用云南省昭通市昭阳区气象局1960年到1988年间在大山包实地采集的气象数据资料,并根据优良太阳观测台址所要求的各项参数指标,对大山包29年来的气象资料进行了系统的统计分
老师是学生成长过程中的引路人,尤其是小学老师陪伴着学生健康成长.在学生伤心时安慰一句,在学生摔跤时扶一把,在学生迷茫时指点一下,对学生身心健康的发展,起着至关重要作用
The snowmelt runoff model (SRM) has been widely used in simulation and forecast of streamflow in snow-dominated mountainous basins around the world.This paper
发扬英勇善战的优良传统,必须切实打牢英勇善战的思想基础;着力提高英勇善战的素质能力;勇于磨砺英勇善战的战斗作风;建立培育英勇善战的有效机制。
To carry forward the f
随着现今城市建设的迅速发展,社会经济的蓬勃发展,人们对生活环境的质量要求也不断提高.在大量建筑物如雨后春笋般地拔地而起,城市绿化面积不断减缩的情况下,建筑物绿化也迅
管好部队带好兵是带兵人的重要职责使命,是培养“四有”新一代革命军人的重要保证。各级干部尤其是领导干部必须坚持思想领先固根基,着力把铸魂育人工作抓扎实;坚持练兵备战