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中国的经济体制正处于转轨过程中,中国的经济发展也在发生阶段性的变化。处于这一背景下的经济运行,其内在机制、外在表现和整个模式,也处于变化之中。研究这些变化,认真分析当前的经济运行模式,对于正确分析经济增长与波动的原因,把握经济运行的规律,选择宏观调控政策,都具有十分重要的意义。本项研究从实证分析入手,首先对供给、需求和货币金融等有关指标与经济增长率的关系进行了分析,在此基础上提出对现存经济运行模式的认识,并进一步分析经济增长与波动的特点,指出面临的主要问题和宏观调控政策选择。
China’s economic structure is in the process of transition. China’s economic development is also undergoing a period of phase change. Under the background of economic operation, its internal mechanism, external manifestation and the whole model are also undergoing changes. Studying these changes and carefully analyzing the current economic operation mode are of great significance for the correct analysis of the causes of economic growth and fluctuations, for the rules of economic operation and for the selection of macro-control policies. This study starts with the empirical analysis. Firstly, it analyzes the relationship between the related indicators such as supply, demand, monetary and financial, and economic growth rate. Based on this, it puts forward the understanding of the existing economic operation mode and further analyzes the relationship between economic growth and volatility Characteristics, pointing out the main problems facing the macro-control policy choices.