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4月以来,由于禽流感问题的不断出现,令本已亏损的禽类养殖行业雪上加霜,一方面禽肉和禽蛋消费出现下降,另一方面禽苗价格也出现暴跌,养殖行业再度陷入心理悲观的境地。通过和下游饲料生产企业以及养殖企业的沟通发现,市场普遍对于二季度看法十分悲观,整体需求看跌5%,而二季度国内的饲料原料行情也将可能出现分化,玉米方面由于政策的支持将会企稳走强,而豆粕由于大豆到港量增加和国际行情疲软将会继续回落,鱼粉则在秘鲁配额紧张和需求弱化的
Since April, as a result of the avian flu epidemic, the loss-making poultry industry has worsened. Consumption of poultry and eggs has dropped on the one hand, and plunging prices have also plunged on the other. As a result, the breeding industry is once again in a pessimistic mood situation. Through the communication with downstream feed producers and breeding enterprises, the market generally is very pessimistic about the second quarter. Overall demand is down 5%. In the second quarter, the domestic feed raw materials market may also be differentiated. As the policy of corn will support corn, Stabilization strengthened, while soybean meal due to the increase in soybean to Hong Kong and the international market will continue to weaken the weakness in the quota tension in Peru and weakened demand