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论文从城市规模的内涵出发,分析不同城市规模的地方政府土地财政行为差异。在已有研究的基础上,论文提出了城市用地规模扩张效应、城市人口集聚效应、城市产业规模及其结构调整效应3个理论假说,以解释不同城市规模的地方政府土地财政行为差异;并通过243个地级市11 a的面板数据进行模型实证分析,检验并证实了3个理论假说。研究发现,不同规模的城市的土地财政行为背后有着不同的驱动力:1)中小城市的城市用地规模扩张对土地财政有明显的驱动;2)所有规模级别的城市的人口集聚效应对土地财政都有显著的影响,且呈现出“U”型特征;3)大城市与中小城市的第二产业规模对土地财政驱动方向不同,特大城市、中小城市第三产业规模对土地财政有正向驱动。因此,针对不同规模城市的土地财政问题及其治理,应该从土地政策、人口与户籍政策以及产业政策等方面给出差别化的调控政策。
Based on the connotation of city scale, this paper analyzes the difference of land finance behavior between local governments in different cities. On the basis of previous studies, the dissertation proposes three theoretical hypotheses about the effect of scale expansion of urban land use, urban population agglomeration, urban industrial scale and its structural adjustment effect to explain the differences in the financial behavior of local governments in different urban areas; and through 243 panel data of prefecture-level cities in 11 a model empirical analysis, testing and confirmed three theoretical hypotheses. The study found that different scales of cities have different driving forces behind the land-based fiscal behavior: 1) the scale of urban land use in small and medium-sized cities is obviously driven by land finance; 2) the population agglomeration effect of cities of all scales affects the land finance The size of the secondary industry in big cities and small and medium-sized cities has different driving directions for the land, and the size of tertiary industry in megalopolises and medium and small cities has a positive effect on land finance drive. Therefore, for different scales of urban land finance and governance issues, should be from the land policy, population and household registration policies and industrial policies to give differentiated regulatory policies.