有关短期地震预测（即以几天到几星期的时间尺度预测未来地震发生的时间、地点和震级）可行性的长期争论最近又开始了一场新的论战［１，２］。要研究这种地震预测有其固有的困难，也有其盛衰多变的过去，零星观测到了许多诱人的、可能是地震前兆的现象，但它们缺乏科学的... The long debate over the feasibility of short-term earthquake prediction (that is, the time, location, and magnitude of future earthquakes that predict future earthquakes on a time scale of days to weeks) recently began a new polemical battle. There are inherent difficulties in the study of such earthquakes, as well as their ups and downs in the past, sporadic observations of many attractive phenomena that may be precursors of earthquakes, but they lack scientific ...