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实证分析表明,国际金融危机之后越南产业的投资结构、产值结构与资本配置效率等发生了比较明显的变化。投资比重与产值比重之间存在着显著的非线性关系。社会资本(包括海外资本)参与那些与“中国—中南半岛经济走廊”基础设施互联互通密切相关的建筑业、运输仓储业、信息通信业等产业,既有机遇,也有风险。虽然一部分产业的资本投资效率不高,但是产业未来的发展空间较大,需要引入更加先进的生产技术和标准。中越两国可以在一带一路战略、亚洲基础设施投资银行框架下深化这些领域的合作。
Empirical analysis shows that after the international financial crisis, the investment structure, output structure and capital allocation efficiency of Vietnamese industries have undergone obvious changes. There is a significant non-linear relationship between the proportion of investment and the proportion of output value. Social capital (including overseas capital) is involved in industries such as construction, transportation, warehousing and information and communications industries that are closely linked to the interconnection of infrastructure in the “China-Indo-China Peninsula Economic Corridor”, with both opportunities and risks. Although the capital investment efficiency of some industries is not high, the future development of the industry is more room for development and more advanced production technologies and standards need to be introduced. China and Vietnam can deepen their cooperation in these fields within the framework of the Belt and Road Initiative and the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank.