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出口多元化战略实施十多年以来,我国出口市场仍较为集中。出口多元化战略包括两层含义:产品的多元化和市场的多元化。国内理论界关于多元化战略的研究主要集中在前者,关于后者的研究则比较罕见。本文试图借鉴现代资产组合理论的思想,运用相对方差来衡量风险,构造了出口市场组合模型,用于定量分析多元化战略中的“市场多元化”问题,为降低我国产品出口所面临的市场风险提供理论指导。
Export diversification strategy for more than a decade since the implementation of China’s export market is still relatively concentrated. Export diversification strategy includes two meanings: product diversification and market diversification. Domestic theoretical circles on the diversification strategy mainly concentrated in the former, the latter is relatively rare. This paper attempts to draw lessons from the modern theory of asset portfolio theory, the use of relative variance to measure risk, the export market portfolio model is constructed for the quantitative analysis of the diversification strategy of “market diversification” issue, in order to reduce the market risk facing China’s exports Provide theoretical guidance.