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2008年的市场低谷过去仅仅两年,2011年的中期,航空货运市场又出现“似曾相识”的迹象,市场疲软尽现眼前。以2010年8月到2011年8月的数据来看,2010年8月,我国整体航空货运量是46.3万吨,较2009年同期增长了18.5%,其中国际货运量为16万吨,增长37.4%,国内(包括港澳地区)为30.32万吨,增长了10.3%;2011年8月,整体货运量则只有45.5万吨,同比下降了1.7%,国际则下降了9.4%,仅达14.87万吨,国内也仅增长了0.3%(如图1)。这种走势一反2009、2010年的恢复景象,似乎有再次步入下行周期的危险。
In the past two years, the trough of the market in 2008 was only two years ago. In mid-2011, signs of “deja vu” appeared again in the air cargo market. According to the data from August 2010 to August 2011, in August 2010, China's overall air cargo volume was 463,000 tons, an increase of 18.5% over the same period of 2009. Among them, the international cargo volume was 160,000 tons, an increase of 37.4% %, The domestic (including Hong Kong and Maucao area) was 303,200 tons, an increase of 10.3%; in August 2011, the overall volume of cargo was only 455,000 tons, down 1.7% from the same period of the previous year while that of the international market dropped by 9.4% to only 148,700 tons , But also increased by only 0.3% in China (Figure 1). This trend of an anti-2009, 2010 recovery scene, there seems to be the risk of once again into the down cycle.