价格的波动对经济运行产生很大的影响,价格体系中某种商品或服务的价格发生变化,会通过成本推动或需求拉动向其它环节传递,引起其它环节商品的价格发生变动,最终影响到居民的福利水平。本文基于新疆社会核算矩阵(SAM),利用可计算一般均衡(CGE)模型,分析新疆农产品价格变动对相关产业部门产出、成本及其农村居民生活的影响。 The fluctuation of price has great influence on the economic operation. The price of a certain kind of goods or services in the price system will change and will be transmitted to other links through cost-push or demand-pull, causing the prices of other links to change, which will eventually affect the residents Welfare level. Based on Xinjiang Social Accounting Matrix (SAM), this paper analyzes the effects of price changes of agricultural products in Xinjiang on the output and costs of related industries and the life of rural residents based on the CGE model.