2012当代艺术市场预测

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据英国《金融时报》报道,尽管英国经济形势日益低迷,艺术品市场去年还是给投资者带来了11%的回报率,连续两年跑赢了股市。作为衡量艺术品回报率的主要指标,梅摩艺术品指数比美股标准回报率高出约9个百分点。而据报道,这一优异表现主要归功于中国市场需求的强劲以及安迪·沃霍尔等热门艺术家的作品居高不下。环顾中国国内市场,2011年的中国艺术品市场仿佛是坐了一趟过山车,先是春季拍卖市场,用“井喷”两个字已经不足以形容。风一般的换手率,难以捉摸的高价位接盘,让一些拍场上混迹多年的行家们看不懂了。拍卖市场仅上半年的成交总额就达到了428亿元。相比春拍的火爆,秋拍则总体趋向平淡,一方面是受经济危机与藏家谨慎观望的影响,拍品频频流拍,各类艺术品指数由普遍大幅上扬转为不同程度的下降,另一方面高价区间作品从数量上相比春拍并无减少,高价纪录频频产生。其中,当代艺术品的关注度则由二季度的21.74%下降至9.46%。面对相对复杂的情况,各方业内人士的看法不一,有的认为当代艺术已经接近底部,今年春天即将“水落石出”;而也有一些专家认为,去年秋拍的变化,只是市场调整的正常表现。 The Financial Times reported that in spite of the sluggish economy in the UK, the art market last year gave investors an 11% return and outperformed the stock market for two consecutive years. As the main measure of the return on the art, the MaMo Art Index is about 9 percentage points higher than the standard rate of return on the U.S. Stock Market. It is reported that this outstanding performance is mainly due to the strong demand in China market and the works of top artists such as Andy Warhol. Looking around the domestic market in China, the Chinese art market in 2011 seems to have taken a roller coaster ride. The first is the spring auction market. It is not enough to describe the Chinese word “blowout.” The average turnover of the wind, the elusive high-priced access to the plate, so that some of the field for many years to remove the experts can not read. In the first half of the auction market, the total turnover reached 42.8 billion yuan. Compared with the hot spring shots, the Autumn Auction generally tended to be dull. On the one hand, due to the economic crisis and the cautious wait-and-see attitude of the collectors, lots of auctioned lots of beats, various art indices turned sharply higher and declined to varying degrees, Aspects of the high-priced range of works compared to the number of spring did not reduce, high prices frequently produced. Among them, the concern of contemporary art dropped from 21.74% in the second quarter to 9.46%. In the face of relatively complicated situations, various parties in the industry have different opinions. Some think that contemporary art is nearing the bottom and that this spring it is about to get out of step with others. Some experts also think that the changes in autumn auction last year were merely market adjustments Normal performance
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