产业关联与生产性服务业空间分布——基于中国城市面板数据的空间计量分析

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笔者基于新经济地理学构建生产性服务业空间布局与关联产业的模型,采用中国地级市面板数据和空间计量方法,实证检验关联产业发展对本地和邻近地区生产性服务业空间分布的影响。研究表明,与生产性服务业相关最紧密的产业是制造业,制造业发展不仅会促进本地生产性服务业空间布局分散化,而且在地区间的外溢效益显著;从区域城市群视角来看,不同区域城市群的制造业发展对本地生产性服务业空间分布的影响相似,但仅东部区域城市群的制造业发展会推动邻近地区生产性服务业分散布局;从行业细分视角来看,制造业发展对本地及邻近地区不同生产性服务行业空间分布的影响差异显著。 Based on the new economic geography, the author constructs a model of producer services spatial distribution and related industries, and uses the panel data and spatial measurement methods of prefecture-level cities in China to test the impact of related industries on the spatial distribution of producer services in the local and neighboring areas. The research shows that the most closely related industry to the producer service industry is the manufacturing industry. The development of the manufacturing industry will not only promote the decentralization of the spatial distribution of the local producer services, but also have significant spillover benefits among the regions. From the perspective of the regional city groups, However, the development of manufacturing industries in the urban agglomerations in the eastern region will promote the decentralized distribution of producer services in the neighboring regions. From the point of view of industry subdivision, the manufacturing industry in different urban agglomerations will have similar impact on the spatial distribution of local producer services. The impact of industry development on the spatial distribution of different producer services in the local and neighboring areas is significantly different.
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