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目的评估2016年6月国内外突发公共卫生事件及需要关注传染病的风险。方法根据国内外突发公共卫生事件报告及重点传染病监测等各种资料和部门通报信息,采用专家会商法,并通过视频会议形式邀请省(直辖市、自治区)疾病预防控制中心专家参与评估。结果近期我国仍有可能出现黄热病、寨卡病毒病、登革热、基孔肯雅热等蚊媒传播传染病的输入性病例,广东、云南、海南、福建、广西和浙江等重点省(自治区)存在输入后发生本地传播的可能。全国手足口病流行强度将逐渐增强,重症和死亡病例将逐渐增多。人感染禽流感疫情仍可能呈散发态势。食物中毒事件将进一步增多。结论根据近期传染病和突发公共卫生事件监测数据,结合既往突发公共卫生事件发生情况及传染病流行特点分析,预计全国6月总报告事件数和病例数较5月基本持平。需重点关注寨卡病毒病、黄热病、登革热和基孔肯雅热等媒介伊蚊传染病,人感染禽流感、手足口病和食物中毒的公共卫生风险。
Objective To assess the public health emergencies at home and abroad in June 2016 and the need to pay attention to the risks of infectious diseases. Methods According to the reports of domestic and foreign public health emergencies and the monitoring of key infectious diseases, the expert consultation method was adopted to invite experts from provincial (municipalities and autonomous regions) CDC to participate in the assessment through video conferencing. Results In recent years, some imported cases of mosquito-borne infectious diseases such as yellow fever, Zika virus disease, dengue fever and Chikungunya fever are still likely to occur in our country. Some key provinces (autonomous regions, municipalities, autonomous regions, etc.) in Guangdong, Yunnan, Hainan, Fujian, There is a possibility of local propagation after input. The prevalence of HFMD in China will gradually increase, and severe cases and deaths will gradually increase. People infected with bird flu may still be epidemic situation. Food poisoning will further increase. Conclusion Based on the recent surveillance data of infectious diseases and public health emergencies, combined with the previous public health emergencies and the epidemiological characteristics of infectious diseases, it is estimated that the total number of reported incidents and cases in June will be basically the same as in May. Special attention should be paid to the public health risks of Zika virus, yellow fever, dengue fever and chikungunya, and other infectious diseases of the mosquito, people infected with bird flu, hand-foot-mouth disease and food poisoning.