论文部分内容阅读
以西安市车用天然气为研究对象,采用蒙特卡罗仿真技术对城市车用天然气供需失衡这一问题进行了研究,并利用计算机仿真结果描述了燃料价格对燃气供给量和需求量的影响.通过对仿真结果的分析,找到实现燃气供需均衡时燃料价格和燃料价格比率的变动范围,测度了燃料价格及其比率与发生供需均衡概率之间的关系.
Taking the natural gas in Xi’an as the research object, this paper studied the imbalance of supply and demand of natural gas in urban vehicles by Monte Carlo simulation technology, and used the computer simulation results to describe the impact of fuel prices on the supply and demand of gas. By analyzing the simulation results, we find the range of variation of fuel price and fuel price ratio when gas supply and demand balance is achieved, and measure the relationship between fuel price and its ratio and the probability of supply and demand equilibrium.